Friday, December 16, 2005

Illinois Congressional District 6 Race Numbers

Cross-posted at WurfWhile.com

Here's a compilation of some recent numbers, facts and observations about the Illinois Congressional 6th District candidates.

Democrats

Christine Cegelis
Petition Signatures: 3,817
Money (rounded, reported in September 2005): $160,000
Upcoming Appearances/Events: "This Week" with George Stephanopoulos this Sunday

Ladda "Tammy" Duckworth
Petition Signatures: Word is they'll be filed
Money (rounded): Supposedly $1 million courtesy of Rahm Emanuel
Upcoming Appearances/Events: "This Week" with George Stephanopoulos this Sunday

Lindy Scott
Petition Signatures: About 1,500 (source: Scott campaign)
Money (rounded): Expects $100,000 by the end of December (source: Scott campaign)
Upcoming Appearances/Events: Two upcoming fundraisers - a birthday bash on December 26 and a lunch at India Palace on December 28.

Republicans

Peter Roskam
Petition Signatures: 2,741 (source: Roskam campaign)
Money (rounded, reported in September 2005): $680,000
Upcoming Appearances/Events: Nothing currently listed on website.

John Vivoda
Dropped Out

Observations

While the news right now is largely framed around Tammy Duckworth entering the race with a lot of money and outside the district Democratic institutional support, and what affect that might have on the presumed frontrunner Christine Cegelis, I don't think that's the whole story. If Lindy Scott makes good on his $100,000 by the end of December - and can then ramp it up early in the new year, he still might have enough money to make things really interesting depending on how much Duckworth and Cegelis end up battering each other in this three-way race. Latino turnout, a presumed strength of Scott, could be key.

While Roskam gets a pass in the primary, it is a mixed blessing. He stays largely out of the news regarding the race (a negative), but gets to save and continue to raise money (a positive). It's too speculative now to really get a handle on who Roskam's competition will be - and how well supported and funded they will be - but a lot of Democratic money could pour into the general election, countering one of Roskam's major strengths. Democratic money, coupled with Roskam's conservative pro-Bush stances and a district turning more blue, could mean a competitive race at the ballot box. Stay tuned.

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