Monday, February 26, 2007

Oh boy, the Chicago municipal elections are tomorrow...

As a blogger this is certainly my first city election and there were so many ways to keep track of it. I found grass roots blogs that really critique their respective aldermen. There were blogs run by newspapers such as Clout St by the Chicago Tribune and Clout City from the Chicago Reader that keep track of the city elections. There's even AlderTrack that keeps track of news in the various wards going into this election.

I really have a feeling that the election coming up is going to be good. I think some Aldermen are going to lose their jobs and yeah Daley is certainly going to have one more term as Mayor. Still this has been a cycle where there are plenty of stories to be told. And it's not the media who are telling the stories. Nope it's mostly everyday people.

BTW, I'm sure everyone here who are following the Chicago elections have favored wards they are tracking. The wards I'm watching the most in no exact order of importance are the 2nd, 3rd, 6th, 7th, 9th, 15th, 16th, 20th, 25th, 42nd, 45th, 46th, 49th, & 50th wards. Some of these wards are probably of no surprise to you.

The 20th contains an alderman who is tainted by bribery. The 15th ward is an open seat so there's some excitement there. The 42nd because of Natarus and his young opponent. The 50th has been reported here, that should be interesting. Oh yeah the 49th looking at the blogs from there nobody likes Joe Moore, but we'll see if this means that Ald. Moore will lose his seat. The 7th well it's just a barometer (my 2 cents) of whether Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. will be a force in the future. His wife Sandi Jackson is taking on the daughter and successor of the former 7th ward Alderman and current Cook County Commissioner Bill Beavers, Darcel Beavers.

Oh yeah why the 6th ward? Well I've noted on my blog how Ald. Fredrenna Lyle is one of my favorites on the city council. Unfortunately it seems, she is projected to face a runoff if not lose outright. One of her opponents, Karin Norington Reaves, has been endorsed by not only the Chicago Sun-Times also the Chicago Tribune. I could ask if an endorsement by any major newspaper will mean anything in some of these wards.

Finally, what are the issues in some of these campaigns. I've seen development a lot (either too much or lack of it) people complaining about the building of condos, a lack of affordable housing, a lack of buidling period (as is the case in the 3rd and 20th wards), and the lack of economic development. There's also issues of crime, this has been one issue in the 6th ward for instance. I'm sure there are other issues I am missing.

So I guess I'm going to open up the floor. What's going on in your neck of the woods? And be sure to vote tomorrow.

6 comments:

Nostradamus,  7:51 PM  

I will not write in quatraine. My predictions are:

If names are alone than no runoff.

1. Manny Flores

2. Bob Fioretti v Madeline Haithcock runoff

3. Pat Dowell v Dorothy Tillman runoff

4. Toni Preckwinckle

5. Leslie Hairston

6. Fredrynne Lyle in runoff

7. Darciel Beavers v Sandy Jackson runoff

8. Whoever the 8th ward Regular Democratic Organization wants
I lost who was alderman after Todd

9. Beale but look for good things in the future from Earick Rayburn No runoff

10. John Pope without a runoff
but close

11. Carl Segvich by 80% JUST KIDDING
Balcer big no runoff

12. Carina Sanchez v George Cardenas runoff
Sanchez to win

13. Write in to defeat Frank Oliva
JUST KIDDING
Frank Olivo--does he even have opposition?

14. Alderman Prince Ed Burke--no runoff but interesting to see how many votes the bird Andrade gets after Appellate court rules her on the ballot, if goes to the Supremes Anne will need to recuse

15. This is tough but some runoff combo of Stovall, Dixon and the guy supported by the unions
Latino vote key

16. Shirley Coleman will be in a runoff, either the union candidate or Hal Baskin

17. LaTasha Thomas

18. Lorna Lane in runoff

19. Virginia Rugai narrowly avoids runoff, Sommerville does better than Pat Hickey says

20. Cochran runoff with Arenda Troutman because she looks like Beyonce and the man framed her

21. Howard Brookins in a runoff with he union guy

22. Ricardo Munoz narrowly without runoff

23. Michael Zalewski with over 70%

24. Chandler without a runoff

25. Danny Solis in a runoff narrowly with Chuatomec Morfein or Martha Padilla
Solis will win eventually

26. Billy Ocasio narrowly in a runoff with Jesse Granato

27. Walter Burnett

28. Ed Smith w/o runoff

29. Ike Carothers

30. Ariel Reyboyas narrowly without runoff

31. Rey Suarez fairly big

32. Wagansback ahead in a runoff or winning straight out

33. Richard Mell

34. Austin

35. Vilma Colom in runoff with Rey Colon, Sotomayor to get a decent vote

36. Bill Banks with over 65% of the vote

37. Mitts in a runoff one of the Jones

38. Allen

39. Laurino with over 65% of the vote

40. O'Connor

41. Dorethy with close to 60%

42. Reily in a narrow upset

43. Vi Daley in a runnoff with Michelle Smith

44. Tunney

45. Levar with close to 60%

46. Schiller wins

47. Schulter

Nostradamus,  8:01 PM  

48. Violin

49. Joe Moore in a runoff narrowly with Gordon probably

50. Stone in a runoff

Daley 65%
Brown 28%
Dock Walls 7%

Who cares about Clerk and Treasurer?
Probably DelValle

Low voter turnout
highest aldermanic turnover since 91

Anonymous,  8:43 PM  

I have to tell you, those are going to be pretty dead on.

Anonymous,  9:43 PM  

Yes, right on with a few exceptions IMHO.

Sort of ridiculous to make predictions anonymously, but what the heck.

Only the differences from Nostradaums below:

Runoff in 2nd Ward will not include Haithcock the incumbent (which I think will be a first). Askew and Fioretti get top votes

Sandra Jackson in 7th wins outright

George Cardenas in 12th wins outright

15th is a runoff between Dixon and Foulkes

Willie Cochran beats Troutman outright in the 20th (please, please, please)

Howard Brookins, Jr. in 21st wins outright

Solis in 25th wins outright

Ocasio in 26th wins outright

Matlak in 32nd wins outright

Rey Colon in 35th wins outright

Mitts in 37th wins outright

Vi Daley in 43rd wins outright

Joe Moore in 49th wins outright

Anonymous,  9:43 PM  

Yes, right on with a few exceptions IMHO.

Sort of ridiculous to make predictions anonymously, but what the heck.

Only the differences from Nostradaums below:

Runoff in 2nd Ward will not include Haithcock the incumbent (which I think will be a first). Askew and Fioretti get top votes

Sandra Jackson in 7th wins outright

George Cardenas in 12th wins outright

15th is a runoff between Dixon and Foulkes

Willie Cochran beats Troutman outright in the 20th (please, please, please)

Howard Brookins, Jr. in 21st wins outright

Solis in 25th wins outright

Ocasio in 26th wins outright

Matlak in 32nd wins outright

Rey Colon in 35th wins outright

Mitts in 37th wins outright

Vi Daley in 43rd wins outright

Joe Moore in 49th wins outright

E,  12:54 PM  

2 will be a runoff
3 will be a runoff
6 will be a runoff
7 will be a runoff
15 will be a runoff
16 will be a runoff
18 will be a runoff
20 will be a runoff
25 will be a runoff
32 will be Wagansback
35 will be a runoff
37 will be a runoff
42 Reily will win
43 will be a runoff
50 will be a runoff

Daley 63-67%
Dorothy Brown 24-34% Depending on tournout
Bill Dock Walls 3-11%
I know the math doesn't add up it is a range, play with it

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