Tuesday, September 12, 2006

A Little Dust-Up....

Well, we've had quite a bit of excitement in the Andrea Zinga campaign the last few days. Some of you might have noticed. Thought you might like to get a perspective on what was happening internally.

Before a significant press conference, typically I interview Andrea on the subject we are going to be covering. It's a give-and-take because I offer my suggestions, as well. Then I write a first draft of comments. She takes and revises it, then sends it back to me. We rehash and put together the final version. Then the day before, we go over tricky areas. I did a very sloppy job of final briefing on the facts on this one because I did not do a final briefing at all. We had scheduled to meet at 7 p.m. Sunday in Decatur. But over the weekend my car broke down not once, but twice. (New parts installed, all is well). Perhaps more comically, the mechanic who came to fix the first problem when I was stranded in central Illinois had HIS car break down when we got the parts we needed for the first breakdown. Bottom line, I did not get to Decatur Sunday night. Instead I left Lake County at 4 a.m. Monday morning.

The business about profiling was complex. Her speech was already five minutes long and we had to try to condense that complexity into a paragraph. Here are some facts about our current system:

1) There was a Computer-Assisted Passenger Pre-Secreening System (CAPPS) in place until 2004. It would rate various red flags, such as buying a one-way ticket, paying with cash, country of origin, and a history of travel to and from volatile mid-eastern countries in selecting passengers for pre-screening. It profiled - but one criteria it did not use was ethnicity.
2) Despite the avoidance of the use of race or ethnicity, lawyers at the Federal Dept. of Transportation (DoT) used a 'disparate impact' approach that said that, even if no ethnic factors were used in the profiling, if the factors that WERE used disproportionately singled out members of a particular ethnic group, the airlines would face discrimination lawsuits. Specifically, airlines were warned that if more than three members of a particular ethnic group were singled out on a flight, it would make that airline vulnerable to a discrimination lawsuit from our own government, even though race and ethnicity were not included in the profiling program at all.
3) After dropping CAPPS I because it singled out too many young mideastern males, a new kinder, gentler CAPPS II program was supposed to be adopted. The ACLU and various civil rights groups have screamed about that, too, and I can't seem to find whether we are currently using any pre-screening programs at all.
4)In the last four months of 2001, 23 million passengers flew on American Airlines. American refused boarding to 11 of those passengers because of security concerns that could not be resolved by flight time. The DoT cited 10 of those 11 passengers in a complaint of discrimination against American. American fought back but eventually settled by paying out $1.5 million for sensitivity training for its employees. As to the passenger denied boarding who was not cited in the DoT complaint? That would be one Richard Reid, who was denied boarding on a flight from Paris to Miami on Dec. 22, 2001. French authorites demanded he be cleared to board the next day - and he tried to set off his shoe bomb. Did American get any credit for accurately assessing the risk? No...their reward was simply that he was not used in the discrimination complaint against them. Transportation Dept. lawyers filed identical suits against Continental, Delta and United Airlines, forcing each of them to pony up millions for sensitivity training as well.

The point Andrea was making was not that we should adopt racial profiling (though she does not rule that out as one of the risk flags in these cases), but that when common-sense risk profiling ends up singling out a larger number of a particular ethnicity, let the chips fall where they may - and don't subject the airlines to discrimination lawsuits for protecting all of our security. A critical question came when a radio reporter noted he had a middle eastern last name and did that mean he should be profiled. Andrea said yes, that would be fine. He was asking if he should be screened because of his last name and she was saying the airlines should be free to screen him without fear of retribution.

The point is that we are compromising security over political correctness. We are accepting life-and-death risks to avoid giving offense. That is dumb and it is wrong. Some have tried to liken this to internment camps for the Japanese in WWII. Get a grip. Inconveniencing someone who fits a risk profile while seeking to board a plane bears no resemblance whatsoever to imprisoning people for their ethnicity. And that sort of overheated thinking compromises our ability to defend the security of all Americans.

I made a mistake in the facts I provided Andrea in support of the argument. I had written it was more than two of a single ethnicity rather than the accurate phrase, more than three. I blew it there. I further made an act of omission by not citing in the text which department of our government was pushing that mandate.

The ever-astute Bernie Schoenberg jumped right on it. He whacked us for the error, but when I gave him the data, he also printed the back-up material to Andrea's larger and compelling point - that we are risking public safety in order not to give offense. Many of the wire services that picked the story up did not bother to highlight anything but the error. (I have to give credit to FOX 18 TV in the Quad Cities which, when reading the AP Story that did not have the detail Schoenberg's did, decided that could not be the whole story and called Andrea).

The situation was compounded when the new Springfield Fire Chief said he had not known we were coming to his station. I don't doubt that was the case, as he is the new chief - and that was the only fire station where we talked inside because it was raining out. I also don't doubt the word of our man who set up the locations, because at the fire stations in Quincy, Macomb and Galesburg later that day, all were expecting us and welcoming - but it was not raining at any of those stops and Andrea's comments were made outside those stations. (After Springfield, I think we would have stayed outside if there had been gale force winds and driving rain).

In the end, though, I suspect the proverbial good time was had by all. Some of you have had some fun at Andrea's expense (and to a lesser extent to mine, as well). Meantime the message got out loud and clear that, in Congress, Andrea will put a much higher premium on public safety than on political correctness. Not quite the day we planned, but we'll take it.

Two final notes: first, Andrea's prepared comments are now up in their entirety on her website (the line about more than two per flight has been redacted, but it is otherwise intact and complete). Second, the Manhattan Institute's Heather Mac Donald has written extensively on the subject of the holes in our airline security, most frequently in New York's City Journal. If you look her up at the Manhattan Institute and click on her City Journal archives, you will find a wealth of material.

28 comments:

Anonymous,  6:42 AM  

You’re a wonderful man and a great friend, Charlie. To stand up and admit that it wasn’t the idiot’s fault, but yours. A true friend.

Your girl’s campaign is toast.

Skeeter 7:39 AM  

Actually, the only message that got out was:

Not Ready For Prime Time.

The discussions and debates and plans for dealing with airlines should have been put in place by the campaign a year ago. You act like the fifth anniversary of 9/11 sort of sneaked up on you.

Neither of you was prepared.

By the way: Sticking a campaign logo on a United States flag? Utterly classless.

Charlie Johnston 7:55 AM  

We didn't put a campaign logo on the signs. We put, in the corner, an address label that says, "Courtesy of Zinga for Congress".

And yes, Skeeter, I know the skewed way you see things. If a report came out that a Republican had walked on water, your response on the blogs would be, "See, I told you he couldn't swim."

Bill Baar 8:26 AM  

I was working for the US Army in Germany after the Lockerbie crash.

The profile then of a bomber then was an unwitting-lonely-hearts-American-male who had accepted a gift from a girl in a bar that he was supposed to give to her family back in the US.

I fit it to a T and was pulled off five times by German Police before I could eventually board my flt home for Christmas.

The final time I was pulled from my seat, made to identify my bags on the runway so they could be searched the final time.

You get some odd looks from the people in the seat next to you when German frontier Police with Uzis ask you to please exit with them.

But it's better than crashing.

Anonymous,  8:36 AM  

Charlie are you comparing republicans to Jesus????

I'm just being silly with that one... But you shouldn't have spent so much time on capitol fax on friday, then maybe you could have been on the road sooner and all of history would have changed.

you can't cover up what was said with a bunch of glossy over the top rhetoric. Because when you get right down to it, Zinga said what your position was to a T. The outrage shouldn't be that she said it so bluntly that it was offensive to just about everyone, the outrage should be over your antiquaited stance on the issue.

You repeatedly say we are risking our lives for political correctness. Well it is the very political correctness and freedom for all that this country has worked so hard for. Not even the great founders of our country were able to see past the fog of their time. We fought as Americans a long time to try and make African-Americans equal to the white population. We are similarly fighting a battle in the current era for allowing homoesexuals the same rights the heterosexuals enjoy.

But yet you aren't helping with that fight. As a matter of fact, you are working against it. Instead of making people equal, you are putting some of the population above the rest. You can hide behind the idea that you are just trying to give the airline industry more ways to screen for terrorists, but what you are actually doing is racial profiling and subsequently disrciminating based on your findings.

If I go to the airport and buy a 1-way ticket with cash the day of the flight you won't stop me, but if my name was a little different you might. That's something I will never stand for in this country.

Anonymous,  8:37 AM  

i have been doing phonebanking and people hate zinga anyways so why does it matter? your campaign is finished!

Bill Baar 9:09 AM  

If I go to the airport and buy a 1-way ticket with cash the day of the flight you won't stop me, but if my name was a little different you might. That's something I will never stand for in this country.

Any variable that's stat signifcant should go into a screen, and if name is one... why not?

Name sort of a poor example, but if intel tells you terrorists take these perfumed baths before suicide attacks in an anticipation of heaven... I'd sure use that as a profile.

There is a lot of science here. You can't really mix the problems with local police and racial profiling of African Americans with what's going on at airports and national screens.

I've fit these profiles pefectly and underwait constant searches... I didn't feel any loss of civil liberties...just glad for the search before I got on the plane.

Anonymous,  9:14 AM  

Why do people keep paying this guy, are there no decent campaign people out there?

Anonymous,  9:32 AM  

I'm a bit confused. Richard Reid converted to Islam, but he wasn't Arab. (His mother is British, and his father Jamaican.)

So, how would extra scrutiny for people of middle eastern descent have stopped Reid?

Bill Baar 9:46 AM  

If there is one thing Assam the American shows us, it's that profiles have to be a little more sophisticated then someones last name or ethnicity.

Charlie Johnston 9:48 AM  

Anon 9:32, I wish people would stop with the reduction to the ridiculous. We're talking about multiple risk factors being used in the profiling. The problem is that we have government lawyers who threaten lawsuits against airlines if those multiple risk factors lead to pulling larger numbers of middle easterners for screening than other segments of the population.

The point is, airline personnel DID stop Richard Reid; but politically correct authorities forced them to put him on the plane he tried to bomb the next day. The risk flags are not designed to target middle eastern men - but more middle eastern men match the target profile than others. Let the chips fall where they may. Your argument enhances the validity of the airline's efforts at screening - they stopped Richard Reid even though he was NOT from the Middle East. Obviously, he nevertheless matched a lot of the profiling criteria they were using, though.

Skeeter 9:57 AM  

Charlie,

You put the campaign logo on an American flag.

You are lucky your Republicans pals haven't got their way yet, or you would be doing 15 in the federal pen for that one.

Instead you just get the voters disgust for putting trying to turn the American flag into a campaign sign.

Anonymous,  10:04 AM  

Charlie,

Here's an idea. Instead of posting why you did or didn't do something, or why something was or wasn't said, why don't you go run your candidate's campaign?

Are you on here just to drum up future business or something? Robbie makes an excellent point, if you weren't blogging all the time, maybe your candidate would get better production. I've never seen another campaign manager blogging anywhere, don't you think that probably will get you into trouble, as it already has?

The GOP needs to find diligent, qualified people to run campaigns. This is a great example of this.

Anonymous,  10:07 AM  

Any variable that's stat signifcant should go into a screen, and if name is one... why not?

Well you might have heard of this little problem the United States has been dealing with called racism... Well maybe not... I'm sure you don't get out much...

I am so proud that you had your little Germany experience and felt cool for getting screened. But myself and many of the people I know are extremely offended by the fact that a person's race or last name is used to stereotype them.

It has been used for much too long in our country by law enforcement against African-Americans. And instead of trying to stop it, you are suggesting that we actively do it on airplanes with people of middle-eastern descent.

I see profiling as both morally wrong and an abuse of power by government over people of minority status.

Did we start screening truck rentals to white males after Oklahoma City??? Did we start screening for postal employees after the incident with the mailman Patrick Sherrill in 1986??? It's amazing how we pick and choose who we want to profile.

Anonymous,  10:31 AM  

Charlie,

The only reason I point out Reid's non-Arab roots is because you used Reid as an example to justify immunity from anti-discrimination laws for airlines who profile.

This point is not reductio ad absurdum; it responds directly to your original post without any exagerration.

Bill Baar 10:48 AM  

Did we start screening truck rentals to white males after Oklahoma City??? Did we start screening for postal employees after the incident with the mailman Patrick Sherrill in 1986??? It's amazing how we pick and choose who we want to profile.

Profiling is discrimination by definition. That's the whole idea...you widdle down and discriminate so you don't waste time with people you shouldn't be wasting your time with.

Racism is discrimination based on a prejudice...

So --unless you believe in 100% checks, or zero checks-- you're going to have to do something in between; you'll have to discriminate somehow.

In fact, you need to overcome your prejudices to do it accurately because your prejudices lead you astray.

People who sell you stuff do this day in day out...they know the science... same goes with terrorists...

...and believe me, after the Ok blast, white males with some other characteristics were on everyone's list.

This is really common sense stuff...

Anonymous,  11:01 AM  

BB, your playing semantics and side stepping the issue.

So --unless you believe in 100% checks, or zero checks--

I actually have heard of this amazing new concept, its actually pretty common sense, its called a random distribution.

Though I would like to say a couple things about the random idea. I think it woudl require enough funding to do a significant amount. They always talk about the container ships at ports and how they randomly inspect some containers, yet it seems like they do such a small percentage its not worth their time.

Also I was thinking, it depends on the screening, it depends on what your screening for. Maybe 100% is a good option, maybe it's bad. Like the liquid thing a few weeks ago, they made the decision to get rid of all liduids instead of dealing with the hassle of checking different types.

People who sell you stuff do this day in day out...they know the science...

You know its actually those people that really piss me off. I go into stores all the time and instead of helping me employees often look at me and then walk away. But yet someone older comes in and they wait on him hand and foot. So in that situation I get stereotyped as young and poor and a bad customer. It's that mentality that causes so many problems. We think we know someone because of their gender or race or age or hair color. It's silly.

Anonymous,  11:31 AM  

Listen, this is the same Charlie Johnston who told Al Salvi in 1996 that Jim Brady is a gun runner.

Salvi repeated it to the press and later lost to Durbin by 14 points.

Any questions?

Charlie Johnston 11:47 AM  

Anon 11:31, you are simply incorrect. That was an unfortunate incident that marred an otherwise good campaign and marvelous candidate. But contrary to your post, I was arguing against saying that and that morning was trying to marshal material to prevent it - and I talked to several people, including the research director with the NRA, the state director of the ISRA, and several elected officials before Al said it trying to marshal help in getting him to drop that line...people who since have burst the canard that I had advocated that when it has come up before. Al was truly a marvelous candidate and said a lot of very important and magnificent things. He has a very keen and creative mind. His frustration with the unfair attacks he was getting just got the better of him in a very bad moment. I take responsibility for my flubs - but that was not one of them. It is a shame Illinois has had to suffer under Dick Durbin in the Senate instead of Al Salvi.

Bill Baar 11:50 AM  

I actually have heard of this amazing new concept, its actually pretty common sense, its called a random distribution.

You're reading books Robbie..

Sure random sampling are part of it.. but let's face it...that customs agent in Wash State who picked up the bomber was aware of things...she discriminated based on that guys behavior and manor and probably his origin... She didn't randomly pick out a terrorist.. she used excellant judgement to discriminate.

She wasn't racist.

Racism is the obstacle you need to overcome here with profiling. What are the prejudices that blind me to seeing a terrorist.

You can bet UBL is going to take advantage of those blinding prejudices to slip the next terrorist past us.

There are people who are very good at doing these profiles and we shouldn't handicap them with charges that they're a racist threat to our civil liberites.

Anonymous,  12:01 PM  

There is a pattern here, one of poor staffing and poor campaigns. Which begs the question someone put up at Capitolfax the other day on this topic...why do people like Charlie keeping getting hired? Is the GOP that starved for political campaign staff that they have to keep breaking out dinosaurs like Charlie?

Charlie Johnston 12:12 PM  

And another thing about Al Salvi...he was a little known State Rep. who came out of nowhere to take that nomination. It was his willingness to take risks that catapulted him.

That same quality damaged him in that instance, but had he not had that characteristic in abundance, no one would have ever heard of him in the first place.

We had heard that line about Brady hundreds of times from people with the gun groups. My opposition to saying it was not based on knowledge of its accuracy, but because I thought it would not help us to get into a public argument on the subject with someone who had been so horrifically injured by a gun.

It was a faux pas in the heat of the waning days of the campaign, but I certainly believe this state and this nation would have been much better served by a Senator Salvi than it has been by Sen. Durbin.

Anonymous,  4:03 PM  

We had heard that line about Brady hundreds of times from people with the gun groups. My opposition to saying it was not based on knowledge of its accuracy . . .

I think that's all one needs to know about how Republican operatives think.

Anonymous,  6:51 PM  

Zinga's in over her head. She was two years ago and she still is this year. That's all there is to it.

Anonymous,  7:55 PM  

Amen nw burbs...and if she were a serious candidate who didn't agree with her own words, she'd fire this loser of a campaign manager immediately.

Anonymous,  9:39 PM  

Looks like Zinga has posted some more comments on this at her blog.....

http://zingaforcongress.blogspot.com/2006/09/profiling.html

Anonymous,  11:01 AM  

The fact that Zinga would be dumb enough to hire Johnston a SECOND time to run a bad campaign is proof positive she's not Congressional material. She's got potential, but to steal from Blago's mantra, what's she thinking? The Combine must have needed a place to dump one of their stooges.

Anonymous,  3:57 PM  

With all due respect to Mr. Johnston, according to both the photo of Ms. Zinga and the following quote on the front page of the Macomb Journal, his memory of events seems a little faulty.

"Surrounded by Republicans IN (emphasis added) a bay at the Macomb Fire Department's main station on West Jackson Street, Zinga said that energy independence relates to the economy and national security."

I mention this only because I had questions about a campaign event in a public facility before Schoenburg's piece even came out. If the firefighter's union wants to back someone, that's one thing. Putting the imprimatur of a municipal utility on a rally is a little different in my eyes.

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